Risk management

Resilience in the face of challenges

Effective risk management lets institutions make informed decisions, protect people and assets, and turn threats into opportunities. We identify the places, sectors and communities exposed and vulnerable to environmental and socio-economic hazards, quantify the risk, and help design the strategies, policies and financial instruments to reduce or transfer it.

Landslide monitoring and forecasting

Monitoring and probabilistic forecasting of landslide and debris-flow hazard, combining satellite data, physical processes and Sibila® models, for operators of infrastructure and the communities around it. Probabilities describe the hazard; combined with exposure and vulnerability, they become risk.

Oil spill forecasting

Drift forecasts of spilled oil that support fast containment — booms, dispersants, clean-up equipment — and reduce damage to marine ecosystems, coastal communities and economic activity.

Biodiversity impact projections

Projections of how climate variability and change affect species, habitats and ecosystem services, to inform conservation priorities, protected-area planning and nature-related risk assessments.

Risk and vulnerability assessments

Assessments of exposure and vulnerability to climate and socio-economic hazards — droughts, floods, cyclones, heat waves, price shocks, disease outbreaks — at national, regional and asset level, with the strategies and policies to increase adaptive capacity.

Example: a recurring climate pattern, its time series, and the delay at which it precedes the outcome. The signal is only tested inside the window that the physical mechanism allows.
Example: a recurring climate pattern, its time series, and the delay at which it precedes the outcome. The signal is only tested inside the window that the physical mechanism allows.
Example: alert levels anchored on past events that warranted action, then expressed as percentiles of the local record, so a local threshold can be compared across places.
Example: alert levels anchored on past events that warranted action, then expressed as percentiles of the local record, so a local threshold can be compared across places.